Economic Situation: In The Next 7 Years, We Will Surely Step Up.
Recent events require stable stock markets.
The next 7 years will be gradually upward.
First, barbaric growth yesterday.
equity market
1, the embryonic stage of China's securities market.
Counter trade began in 1986.
In 1989, China's social upheaval (the western countries jointly imposed sanctions on China) and 1990 (December 19th) decided to open a stock exchange in Shanghai.
2, crazy stock subscription card.
The subscription card solves the issue of stock issuance (2, 5, 10, 30 yuan, etc.), and finally issued 2 million 70 thousand copies - > using the certificate of deposit Yaohao - > Internet release > > placing new shares according to the stock market value (recent: 14 rules for IPO).
3, the big expansion makes the stock market into the world.
The first expansion in 1993, a large number of local listed companies in Shanghai.
The vitality of a stock market lies in its continuous expansion, expansion and expansion.
4, the stock market is a place for cat and mouse games.
In pursuit of maximizing interests, cats (regulators) and mice (game players) are constantly changing their identities.
A sound stock market is like five fingers, thumb: Government (market manager, the biggest beneficiary: tax); index finger: financing (issuer); middle finger: market intermediary, broker; ring finger: investor; little finger: market parasite, attached to the market (small company, analyst, news media).
Games can not be too serious, and can not be serious.
Two, 2016
monetary policy
Possible variables
1, there is still room for cutting interest rates.
For any investment, the axis is interest rate.
Interest rate is the benchmark for any investment.
A year's yield exceeds interest rate, which is a successful investor.
Now the annual interest rate is 1.5%, which is very low (China's highest time in 1996 was 12.5%).
2, there is more room for the adjustment of the deposit reserve ratio. Liquidity is ample to boost the bull market.
Next year, the reserve requirement ratio will be greater than the rate cut, and more capital will be entered into the market.
3, pay attention to the trend of exchange rate, pay attention to whether the US dollar has formed an inflection point, and personally feel that the US dollar has not yet formed an inflection point.
4, directional control, interval control, preset fine tuning is still the main keynote in 2016.
The possibility of great change is very small.
Now: small walk.
Key words in securities market in three and 2016
1, amend the securities law and accelerate the implementation of the stock issuance registration system (the 2016 most important reform direction).
The stock market crash this year has left many things lags behind and has a great impact on the listed companies.
Early: quota system; now: examination and approval system (TV play finished, audit content, actor, etc.); future: registration system (as long as the TV play to me, tell me from such a company to make this TV play, the TV play is true, as long as it is true, regardless of profit or loss).
2, the rhythm of new IPO will increase, and how to establish a profit model under the new IPO method.
The biggest advantage: the bail out fund (3800 points), to 3800 points can not completely run out (now set 5 trillion), to evacuate, less than 4500 points can not run out (volume is too large).
Next, IPO will make a big profit.
Study the IPO scheme.
The issue of low price is tilted to individual investors, issuing two times and attracting more people to participate in the stock market.
Finally, we should be very wealthy.
3, the reform of state owned enterprises will bring about market fission, stock market and market opportunities.
1+n (multi line: equity incentive, listed company classification, mixed ownership reform, etc.) Program Administration - > capital management merger.
For example, major airlines have great opportunities in various industries.
4, the stock market policy will tilt towards innovative enterprises, opportunities for emerging industrial boards and new three boards.
Low threshold is not a hot spot now, and it will become a hot spot.
Entrepreneurship and innovation.
Four, life is my life.
Conduct financial pactions
All your life; you do not manage money or wealth.
Emotional quotient, intelligence quotient and financial quotient, we should increase revenue and reduce expenditure (arrange the whereabouts of funds reasonably).
1, there is no bear market for investment and financial management.
There are bear markets and bull markets in stocks. Investment and financing are not bright in the East but bright in the West.
Futures are small and broad.
2, seize several big opportunities in your life.
Investment is not a daily opportunity.
There are several big opportunities to grasp.
3, balance the balance sheet of personal finance and enjoy life in beautiful China.
4, do what we can, advance with the times, and deploy personal assets well.
Five and 2016 stock market investment opportunities
1, follow the 13th Five-Year plan to make your own five year financial planning.
The newly listed IPO Qingdao Haier and Suning Appliance select a company to enter early (share profits and select new small companies).
2, low price, low price earnings ratio, low market rate gradually upwards.
The lower the market net rate, the more valuable it is in theory.
3, rational allocation of stock market value, participation in new shares purchase
4. Manage liquidity in the repo market.
5, take a place in the new three boards.
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